Duck07 wrote:It will be interesting to see where the new rankings come out and how much FSU is punished for Travis Jordan's injury.
I already saw numerous talking heads (finally) put the poodles in the Top 4 on the basis that they have more Top 25 wins (4) than anyone else. Well, going into yesterday's game they already led the nation in Top 25 wins with 3 so what gives? Just an injury to Travis Jordan because if those Top 25 wins actually mattered in their eyes, they'd already be Top 4.
I think the only legitimate ranking of the Top 4 has to be
1-Georgia (3 top 25 wins, 28 game win streak, undefeated defending champs)
2-UW (4 top 25 wins, 17 game win streak, undefeated)
3-OSU (2 top 25 wins, decent OOC schedule, undefeated)
4-FSU (1 top 25 wins, decent OOC schedule, undefeated)
Oregon's top win is demolishing Utah while essentially boat-racing every team that isn't undefeated UW. We've had two 1-score games and Texas Tech is back at 6-5 and the fact that they were 50-2 in OOC games at home prior to playing us should at least been viewed as a good OOC game between PAC/B12.
Texas could have an argument when it comes to us right now since their win over Bama is better than ours vs Utah but that's about it when measuring the two as our loss certainly looks better than their loss. They might have the better win as of today, but we look so much better on tape.
I can't help but feel that the fix is in when it comes to the PAC and the CFP and that we do in fact need help beyond just beating OSU and UW the next 2 weeks. We could really use an Iowa upset in the B1G, a Tech win over Texas, UGA staying undefeated and FSU dropping a game.
I don't see FSU as being unbeatable now with Jordan Travis out. I think they can still beat Florida, but Louisville will be a challenge with a backup QB. That's a "wait and see" scenario.
I don't see Texas having an opportunity ahead of them due to the quality of opponent they'll meet in the Big-12 Championship. There are several scenarios that include Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Kansas State. I think their best bet would be a rematch with Oklahoma. That would be a chance to avenge their only loss. However, if Alabama beats Georgia, that would add a huge boost to their resume.
I think Georgia is in as long as they beat Georgia Tech. I don't see a loss vs Alabama keeping them out. However, if Alabama does beat them, I think there's a good chance that they would jump the Ducks whether Oregon beats UW and OSU or not. I hate it, but they have a legit SOS and a win over Georgia may make them a lock to the committee. They may not jump Texas, though.
The winner of Ohio State vs Michigan is almost guaranteed a spot unless it's Michigan and FSU and UW both win out. That would definitely cause chaos.
The ESPN predictor computer has Oregon with a 53% chance of getting in, which it higher that UW at 37%. Evidently, their computer thinks the Ducks will beat UW.
The Ducks need to beat the Beavers first and then let the chips fall where they may. (Fingers crossed)
