Ducks Attack Message Board Forum

Update after week 6 (last thread from week 2)

Etch it in stone:
Ohio State
Oregon
Miami

I think they'll make it:
Texas Tech
Memphis
Ole Miss

Little more than a guess:
Missouri (1 loss)
Texas A&M (1 loss)
Alabama (I'm projecting 2 losses total)
Georgia (2 loss)
Florida State (2 loss)
Week 8 winner of USC/Notre Dame OR Week 11 winner of Indiana/Penn State

The three best teams are Oregon, Ohio State and Miami. If you told me the next 8 best are all southeastern confederacy teams, I would believe you.

SEC: 6 teams
Big Ten: 3ish
ACC: 2
Big 12: 1

I can see fsu and Notre Dame, and Penn State all missing out, especially Penn State

Locks:
MIA
OH St
UO

Likely
TTech
Ol Miss
TA&M
OU
IN
GA

Possible:
TN
BYU
Memphis

First 4 Out:
MISSU
AL
LSU


I thinik the SEC will beat each other up. I see 5 SEC (bias and poll inertia mostly), 3 B10 (Michigan/Illinois could take over indiana's spot). TxTech or BYU are in, I would be surprised if both, and South florida or UNLV (if memphis starts losing). I feel the SEC will keep beating up on each other we will be having the discussion of a 3 or 4 loss Tennessee or Alabama in or out.

Imagine a college football NIT with Notre Dame, Texas, Alabama and Penn State. Might get higher ratings than the real playoff.

StevensTechU wrote: Mon Oct 06, 2025 2:19 pm Imagine a college football NIT with Notre Dame, Texas, Alabama and Penn State. Might get higher ratings than the real playoff.

I think a NIT type second tier playoff could be an element of 'improving' CFB.

duckpoint wrote: Mon Oct 06, 2025 3:01 pm

StevensTechU wrote: Mon Oct 06, 2025 2:19 pm Imagine a college football NIT with Notre Dame, Texas, Alabama and Penn State. Might get higher ratings than the real playoff.

I think a NIT type second tier playoff could be an element of 'improving' CFB.

Better then bowl games.

All this does is make me once again realize the need for an expanded playoff makes the regular season worthless.

Oregon and Ohio State are on a collision course for an undefeated season yet some 9-3 directional schools are going to have a chance at years end.

Duck07 wrote: Tue Oct 07, 2025 8:48 am All this does is make me once again realize the need for an expanded playoff makes the regular season worthless.

Oregon and Ohio State are on a collision course for an undefeated season yet some 9-3 directional schools are going to have a chance at years end.

I'm fine with 12. I won't cry about anything between 4-12, frankly. The smaller you go, I think it becomes easier to squeeze out the smaller brands and G5 teams, which I'm not a fan of. Already at 12, the saturation is evident with multiple loss teams getting in as long as their preseason ranking was high enough.

StevensTechU wrote: Tue Oct 07, 2025 10:12 am

Duck07 wrote: Tue Oct 07, 2025 8:48 am All this does is make me once again realize the need for an expanded playoff makes the regular season worthless.

Oregon and Ohio State are on a collision course for an undefeated season yet some 9-3 directional schools are going to have a chance at years end.

I'm fine with 12. I won't cry about anything between 4-12, frankly. The smaller you go, I think it becomes easier to squeeze out the smaller brands and G5 teams, which I'm not a fan of. Already at 12, the saturation is evident with multiple loss teams getting in as long as their preseason ranking was high enough.

The problem with 12 is how the Byes and Conference CGs mess with it all and they won't contract down to 8, which would have kept the importance of the CG at a premium for every Conference and left the smaller schools a chance.

Thus they will expand it to 16 and dilute the importance of the regular season further. I recognize these changes will likely benefit us as a team with a deeper, more talented roster but as a fan of the sport I don't like it.

duckpoint wrote: Mon Oct 06, 2025 3:01 pm

StevensTechU wrote: Mon Oct 06, 2025 2:19 pm Imagine a college football NIT with Notre Dame, Texas, Alabama and Penn State. Might get higher ratings than the real playoff.

I think a NIT type second tier playoff could be an element of 'improving' CFB.

Why not change the existing bowl system with mini tournaments? Make three bowls feed four teams.

Zyme wrote: Wed Oct 08, 2025 5:14 am

duckpoint wrote: Mon Oct 06, 2025 3:01 pm

StevensTechU wrote: Mon Oct 06, 2025 2:19 pm Imagine a college football NIT with Notre Dame, Texas, Alabama and Penn State. Might get higher ratings than the real playoff.

I think a NIT type second tier playoff could be an element of 'improving' CFB.

Why not change the existing bowl system with mini tournaments? Make three bowls feed four teams.

There is certainly subjectivity in what could or should happen in the next BCS playoff iteration. I think we have about 5 years of placation before the last realignment happens when ACC & Big 12 media & conference agreements expire. After that, (I think) the SEC & Big 10 will break away their own division and they don't care what happens to the rest of CFB.

Haven't seen you guys mention Michigan yet. They have a lot of talent and Bryce Underwood is improving. Even if tOSU manages them to beat them this year, they could still make the playoffs at 10-2. They beat Alabama and Ohio St with a worse QB last year.

They get tOSU at home. Their next hardest game is probably @USC followed by UW at home. They have a real chance to finish 10-2. And honestly, with the way tOSU gets in their own head when they play them, 11-1 isn't completely off the table, either.

Probably time to add Indiana to the etched in stone as they don't play anyone the rest of the way. Given the way they're playing, it might be safe to say UCLA is the most dangerous team left for them.

USC against Notre Dame this weekend is going to be huge.

If things play out as Vegas would expect after this game, Notre Dame would have wins against USC, Boise, Pitt and Navy, and as a brand name you know they'd get credit for losing close to Miami and A&M.

If USC wins, they'd have wins over Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Iowa, and potentially losses against only Illinois close and Oregon.

USC, Indiana, Oregon and Ohio State getting in is probably the only path the Big 10 has to getting four teams in.